POKER ODDS
Outs: The number of cards left in the deck that will improve your hand.
Pot Odds: The odds when analyzing the current size of the pot vs. your next call.
Bet Odds: The odds you get as a result of evaluating the number of callers to a raise.
Implied Odds: The odds you are getting after “assuming the result” of betting for the remainder of the hand.
Pot odds are what you use to calculate whether a certain play has a positive expected value. It is defined as the relationship between the size of the pot and the bet. For instance, if the pot is $100 and you bet $20, the pot odds are 5 to 1. In order to calculate your pot odds, you must know how many outs your hand has at that moment. For example, if you flop a flush draw with 2 overcards you then have 15 outs to make your hand. There are suited cards in total. You hold 2 and the flop came with 2, which leaves 9 of the same suit in the stack, and there are 6 pearing cards to your overcards. If you refer to the table below, you will notice that you have a 54.1% chance of hitting a hand with 15 outs on the turn and river combined. This means that betting $20 to win anything over a $34 pot is the correct play.
In general, every out gives you about a 4% chance of hitting on the turn and river combined. For example, 10 outs gives you about a 40% chance of improving, 12 outs about 48%, etc. When you are down to just the river card, that percentage is cut in half.
POCKET CARDS
Dealt a pocket pair |
16 to 1 |
|
AA |
220 to 1 |
|
Any AK (suited or unsuited) |
82 to 1 |
|
3 suited flop |
18 to 1 or 5% |
|
2 suited flop |
55% |
|
Being dealt a pocket pair |
5.9% |
|
Flopping a set when you hold a pocket pair |
11.8% |
|
Being dealt suited cards |
23.5% |
|
Making an open ended straight draw on either turn or river . |
31.5% |
|
Making a gutshot straight draw on either turn or river |
16.5% |
POKER OUTS (After the Flop)
|
Number of Outs |
Chance of completing
after the flop |
|
20 |
67.5% |
|
19 |
65.0% |
|
18 |
62.4% |
|
17 |
59.8% |
|
16 |
57.0% |
|
15 (flush draw w/2 overcards) |
54.1% |
|
14 |
51.2% |
|
13 |
48.1% |
|
12 (flush draw w/overcard) |
45.0% |
|
11 |
41.7% |
|
10 |
38.4% |
|
9 (flush draw) |
35.0% |
|
8 (open ended straight draw) |
31.5% |
|
7 |
27.8% |
|
6 (2 overcards) |
24.1% |
|
5 |
20.3% |
|
4 (gut shot draw) |
16.5% |
|
3 |
12.5% |
|
2 (hitting a pocket pair) |
8.4% |
|
1 |
4.4% | |
